Saturday’s UFC Saudi Arabia fight card features a middleweight matchup between former UFC champion Israel Adesanya and Nassourdine Imavov in the main event slot. Meanwhile, in the co-main event of the UFC Fight Night event, which will also be contested at 185 pounds, the undefeated Shara “Bullet” Magomedov faces Michael “Venom” Page. We look at the betting odds, line movement, predictions, picks, and prop bets for the UFC Saudi Arabia fight card.
The UFC Saudi Arabia fight card streams on ESPN+.
Also on the UFC Saudi Arabia main card is a battle between top-10 ranked UFC heavyweights Sergei Pavlovich and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
UFC Saudi Arabia Fight Card Preview: Odds, Betting Line Movement And Predictions – Israel Adesanya Vs. Nassourdine Imavov
RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA – JANUARY 31: (L-R) Opponents Israel Adesanya of Nigeria and Nassourdine Imavov ….
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Adesanya (24-4) , who is the No. 2 ranked fighter in the UFC’s 185-pound division, is riding the first two-fight losing skid of his MMA career. The 35-year-old saw his second run as UFC middleweight champion end in September 2023 when he dropped a one-sided decision to Sean Strickland in a fight where he was an enormous betting favorite.
The ex-champ had an opportunity to become a three-time UFC titleholder in August 2024, but fell short in that bout, losing to Dricus Du Plessis by rear-naked choke in the fourth round of their UFC 305 battle. The loss was the first submission defeat of Adesanya’s career.
Imavov (15-4-0-1) is ranked fifth in the UFC middleweight division ahead of his UFC Saudi Arabia main event matchup against Adesanya. Imavov is riding a four-fight unbeaten streak. His most recent outing was a unanimous decision win over Brendan Allen in September.
Imavov’s most recent loss came in January 2023 when Sean Strickland bested him via unanimous decision.
When the betting odds opened for the UFC Saudi Arabia main event, Adesanya was a -185 betting favorite over the +150 Imavov. Today, Adesanya is listed at -170 over Imavov, who is the +140 betting underdog.
Most of the bets on this fight have come in on Adesanya (62 percent), while the majority of the handle (59 percent) has been on Imavov.
The betting pick, if this is a striking battle, is Adesanya via decision, but things could get interesting if Imavov makes it a wrestling match.
UFC Saudi Arabia Fight Card Preview: Odds, Betting Line Movement And Predictions – Shara Magomedov Vs. Michael Page
RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA – JANUARY 31: (L-R) Opponents Shara Magomedov of Russia and Michael Page of ….
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The undefeated Shara “Bullet” Magomedov (15-0) faces veteran competitor Michael “Venom” Page (22-3) in a middleweight matchup.
Magomedov is coming off a highlight-reel knockout win over Armen Petrosyan at UFC 308, while Page is looking to rebound from a decision loss to Ian Machado Garry at UFC 303.
Magomedov is the No. 14 ranked UFC middleweight, while Page is the No. 15 welterweight.
The opening odds for this one saw Magomedov listed at -170 over Page, who opened at +140. Today, “Bullet” is -185 and Page is +150. Magomedov has a slim advantage in the number of bets (51 percent), while 70 percent of the money is in his favor.
The betting pick is for Page, who is the more skilled striker, to pick up a decision win, but there is some value in a Magomedov knockout win.
UFC Saudi Arabia Fight Card Preview: Odds, Betting Line Movement And Predictions – Sergei Pavlovich Vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik
RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA – JANUARY 31: (L-R) Opponents Sergei Pavlovich of Russia and Jairzinho ….
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This heavyweight contest saw Pavlovich open at -250. He has moved to -325 as fight night nears. Meanwhile, Rozenstruik opened at +200 and is now +260. With the odds being what they are, Rozenstruik has picked up 78 percent of the bets, but Pavlovich has 62 percent of the handle.
This one comes down to who can impose their will. If Pavlovich makes it a fire fight he will win. If Rozenstruik can make the fight a technical battle that allows him to use his jab and distance, he can pick up the victory.
Pavlovich has a reach advantage in this fight and I think that will come into play. The pick is Pavlovich to win via knockout.
UFC Saudi Arabia Fight Card Preview: Odds, Betting Line Movement And Predictions – Said Nurmagomedov vs. Vinicius Oliveira
RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA – JANUARY 31: Said Nurmagomedov of Russia poses on the scale during the UFC ….
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In this bantamweight bout, Said Nurmagomedov opened as the -175 favorite over Oliveira, who opened at +145. Today, Nurmagomedov is -160 and Oliveira at +135. Oliveira has most of the bets (65 percent), whole Nurmagomedov has most of the handle (51 percent).
The betting pick is Nurmagomedov to win via decision.
UFC Saudi Arabia Fight Card Preview: Odds, Betting Line Movement And Predictions – Farès Ziam vs. Mike Davis
RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA – JANUARY 31: (L-R) Opponents Fares Ziam of France and Mike Davis face off ….
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A lightweight contest opens the UFC Saudi Arabia main card. Mike Davis opened as a -275 favorite over Fares Ziam, who came in at +210. Those odds have tightened up. Today, Davis is -140 and Ziam is listed at +115. Most of the wagers (51 percent) are on Ziam, who also has most of the money on him (52 percent).
The betting pick is Mike Davis to win via decision.
*All odds via BetMGM
UFC Saudi Arabia Fight Card Prop Bets To Consider
Nassourdine Imavov to get over two takedowns at +160
Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov to go the distance at -165
Shara Magomedov vs Michael Page to go the distance at -190
Jairzinho Rozenstruik under 0.5 takedowns at +600
Sergei Pavlovich wins via KO/TKO at -260
Farès Ziam vs. Mike Davis to go the distance at -190
*Odds via BetOnline
UFC Vegas Saudi Arabia Full Fight Card
UFC Saudi Arabia Main Card
Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov
Shara Magomedov vs. Michael Page
Sergei Pavlovich vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Said Nurmagomedov vs. Vinicius Oliveira
Fares Ziam vs. Mike Davis
UFC Saudi Arabia Preliminary Card
Muhammad Naimov vs. Kaan Ofli
Shamil Gaziev vs. Thomas Peterson
Terrance McKinney vs. Damir Hadžović
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
Bogdan Grad vs. Lucas Alexander
Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Jamal Pogues
UFC Today: UFC Saudi Arabia Fight Card Date
Saturday, February 1, 2025
UFC Today: UFC Saudi Arabia Fight Card Date
anb Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
UFC Today: UFC Saudi Arabia Fight Card Date, Time And How To Watch And Stream
Prelims: 9:00 a.m. ET – ESPN+
Main Card: 12 p.m. ET – ESPN+
We will have results, recaps and reactions to the UFC Saudi Arabia fight card as they happen.
